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Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
HGVConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5.05B | 1.6% | $80.75M | $232.16M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.11B | 1.6% | $81.72M | $234.95M | $213.59M |
| 2028 | $5.17B | 1.6% | $82.70M | $237.77M | $196.50M |
| 2029 | $5.23B | 1.6% | $83.69M | $240.62M | $180.78M |
| 2030 | $5.29B | 1.6% | $84.70M | $243.51M | $166.32M |
| 2031 | $5.36B | 1.6% | $85.71M | $246.43M | $153.01M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.89 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $9.332 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 49.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $463.82 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $287.99 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $201.60 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $144.00 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$45.466 | -$41.038 | -$35.001 |
| 10.0% | -$49.97 | -$46.706 | -$42.437 |
| 11.0% | -$53.526 | -$51.041 | -$47.892 |