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Hilton Food Group plc
HFG.LConsumer DefensiveLSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | £4.21B | 1.1% | £46.36M | -£16.86M | N/A |
| 2027 | £4.35B | 1.1% | £47.80M | -£17.38M | -£15.80M |
| 2028 | £4.48B | 1.1% | £49.28M | -£17.92M | -£14.81M |
| 2029 | £4.62B | 1.1% | £50.81M | -£18.48M | -£13.88M |
| 2030 | £4.76B | 1.1% | £52.38M | -£19.05M | -£13.01M |
| 2031 | £4.91B | 1.1% | £54.01M | -£19.64M | -£12.19M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | £0.53 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +20.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | £1.347 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.5 | P/E |
| Future price | £12.792 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | £7.943 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | £5.56 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | £3.971 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -£646.212 | -£678.618 | -£722.808 |
| 10.0% | -£613.302 | -£637.194 | -£668.438 |
| 11.0% | -£587.329 | -£605.521 | -£628.563 |