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HUTCHMED (China) Limited
HCMHealthcareNASDAQHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $549.96M | 83.3% | $458.12M | -$79.19M | N/A |
| 2027 | $618.16M | 83.3% | $514.93M | -$89.01M | -$80.92M |
| 2028 | $694.81M | 83.3% | $578.78M | -$100.05M | -$82.69M |
| 2029 | $780.97M | 83.3% | $650.54M | -$112.46M | -$84.49M |
| 2030 | $877.81M | 83.3% | $731.21M | -$126.40M | -$86.34M |
| 2031 | $986.65M | 83.3% | $821.88M | -$142.08M | -$88.22M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.60 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $27.263 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 5 | P/E |
| Future price | $136.31 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $84.641 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $59.249 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $42.32 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$1.971 | -$2.952 | -$4.289 |
| 10.0% | -$0.982 | -$1.705 | -$2.651 |
| 11.0% | -$0.203 | -$0.753 | -$1.451 |