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HCI Group, Inc.
HCIFinancial ServicesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $900.95M | 33.2% | $299.11M | $444.17M | N/A |
| 2027 | $944.19M | 33.2% | $313.47M | $465.49M | $423.17M |
| 2028 | $989.51M | 33.2% | $328.52M | $487.83M | $403.17M |
| 2029 | $1.04B | 33.2% | $344.29M | $511.25M | $384.11M |
| 2030 | $1.09B | 33.2% | $360.81M | $535.79M | $365.95M |
| 2031 | $1.14B | 33.2% | $378.13M | $561.50M | $348.65M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $24.87 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $260.78 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 7.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $1,903.70 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,182.05 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $827.43 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $591.02 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $581.10 | $639.71 | $719.64 |
| 10.0% | $521.66 | $564.87 | $621.39 |
| 11.0% | $474.76 | $507.67 | $549.35 |