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HCA Healthcare, Inc.
HCAHealthcareNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $75.60B | 9.0% | $6.80B | $7.71B | N/A |
| 2027 | $80.89B | 9.0% | $7.28B | $8.25B | $7.50B |
| 2028 | $86.55B | 9.0% | $7.79B | $8.83B | $7.30B |
| 2029 | $92.61B | 9.0% | $8.34B | $9.45B | $7.10B |
| 2030 | $99.10B | 9.0% | $8.92B | $10.11B | $6.90B |
| 2031 | $106.03B | 9.0% | $9.54B | $10.82B | $6.72B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $28.38 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +28.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $99.432 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 15.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $1,580.98 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $981.66 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $687.16 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $490.83 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $284.88 | $339.18 | $413.23 |
| 10.0% | $229.92 | $269.95 | $322.30 |
| 11.0% | $186.57 | $217.05 | $255.66 |