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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $125.10B | 13.7% | $17.14B | -$47.16B | N/A |
| 2027 | $126.97B | 13.7% | $17.40B | -$47.87B | -$43.52B |
| 2028 | $128.88B | 13.7% | $17.66B | -$48.59B | -$40.15B |
| 2029 | $130.81B | 13.7% | $17.92B | -$49.32B | -$37.05B |
| 2030 | $132.77B | 13.7% | $18.19B | -$50.06B | -$34.19B |
| 2031 | $134.76B | 13.7% | $18.46B | -$50.81B | -$31.55B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $51.32 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +26.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $162.98 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 16 | P/E |
| Future price | $2,607.71 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1,619.18 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,133.43 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $809.59 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$2,355.236 | -$2,634.235 | -$3,014.689 |
| 10.0% | -$2,071.484 | -$2,277.183 | -$2,546.174 |
| 11.0% | -$1,847.469 | -$2,004.09 | -$2,202.476 |