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Green Brick Partners, Inc.
GRBKConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.04B | 15.4% | $314.16M | $208.08M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.19B | 15.4% | $337.41M | $223.48M | $203.16M |
| 2028 | $2.35B | 15.4% | $362.37M | $240.01M | $198.36M |
| 2029 | $2.53B | 15.4% | $389.19M | $257.78M | $193.67M |
| 2030 | $2.71B | 15.4% | $417.99M | $276.85M | $189.09M |
| 2031 | $2.92B | 15.4% | $448.92M | $297.34M | $184.62M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $7.07 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -16.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.836 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $24.953 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $15.494 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $10.846 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $7.747 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $86.926 | $97.761 | $112.54 |
| 10.0% | $75.961 | $83.95 | $94.396 |
| 11.0% | $67.314 | $73.397 | $81.102 |