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Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
GOOS.TOConsumer CyclicalTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.53B | 1.5% | $22.92M | $142.12M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.54B | 1.5% | $23.06M | $142.98M | $129.98M |
| 2028 | $1.55B | 1.5% | $23.20M | $143.83M | $118.87M |
| 2029 | $1.56B | 1.5% | $23.34M | $144.70M | $108.71M |
| 2030 | $1.57B | 1.5% | $23.48M | $145.56M | $99.42M |
| 2031 | $1.57B | 1.5% | $23.62M | $146.44M | $90.93M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$0.23 | 2026-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$0.018 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 65.9 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$1.179 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$0.732 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$0.512 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$0.366 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | CA$13.66 | CA$15.633 | CA$18.324 |
| 10.0% | CA$11.652 | CA$13.107 | CA$15.009 |
| 11.0% | CA$10.066 | CA$11.174 | CA$12.577 |