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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
GOConsumer DefensiveNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.69B | 1.0% | $46.89M | $23.44M | N/A |
| 2027 | $5.17B | 1.0% | $51.72M | $25.86M | $23.51M |
| 2028 | $5.70B | 1.0% | $57.04M | $28.52M | $23.57M |
| 2029 | $6.29B | 1.0% | $62.92M | $31.46M | $23.64M |
| 2030 | $6.94B | 1.0% | $69.40M | $34.70M | $23.70M |
| 2031 | $7.65B | 1.0% | $76.55M | $38.27M | $23.77M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$2.30 | 2026-01-03 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$11.012 | -$10.534 | -$9.883 |
| 10.0% | -$11.495 | -$11.142 | -$10.682 |
| 11.0% | -$11.875 | -$11.607 | -$11.267 |