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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $128.49B | 36.3% | $46.64B | $46.51B | N/A |
| 2027 | $141.34B | 36.3% | $51.30B | $51.16B | $46.51B |
| 2028 | $155.47B | 36.3% | $56.44B | $56.28B | $46.51B |
| 2029 | $171.02B | 36.3% | $62.08B | $61.91B | $46.51B |
| 2030 | $188.12B | 36.3% | $68.29B | $68.10B | $46.51B |
| 2031 | $206.93B | 36.3% | $75.12B | $74.91B | $46.51B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $269.93 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +24.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $810.66 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $3,242.66 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2,013.44 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,409.41 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,006.72 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $49.282 | $55.02 | $62.845 |
| 10.0% | $43.487 | $47.717 | $53.249 |
| 11.0% | $38.919 | $42.14 | $46.22 |