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Greggs plc
GGGSFConsumer DefensiveOTCGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.15B | 5.7% | $122.60M | $73.13M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.36B | 5.7% | $134.25M | $80.08M | $72.80M |
| 2028 | $2.58B | 5.7% | $147.00M | $87.68M | $72.47M |
| 2029 | $2.82B | 5.7% | $160.96M | $96.01M | $72.14M |
| 2030 | $3.09B | 5.7% | $176.26M | $105.13M | $71.81M |
| 2031 | $3.39B | 5.7% | $193.00M | $115.12M | $71.48M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.19 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -20.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.378 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $5.48 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.402 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.382 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.701 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $12.315 | $14.418 | $17.287 |
| 10.0% | $10.189 | $11.74 | $13.769 |
| 11.0% | $8.514 | $9.695 | $11.191 |