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GFL Environmental Inc.
GFL.TOIndustrialsTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6.62B | 58.0% | $3.84B | $383.72M | N/A |
| 2027 | $7.04B | 58.0% | $4.08B | $408.28M | $371.16M |
| 2028 | $7.49B | 58.0% | $4.34B | $434.41M | $359.02M |
| 2029 | $7.97B | 58.0% | $4.62B | $462.21M | $347.27M |
| 2030 | $8.48B | 58.0% | $4.92B | $491.79M | $335.90M |
| 2031 | $9.02B | 58.0% | $5.23B | $523.27M | $324.91M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$10.12 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$106.12 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 5.7 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$604.86 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$375.57 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$262.90 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$187.79 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -CA$4.34 | -CA$2.612 | -CA$0.256 |
| 10.0% | -CA$6.09 | -CA$4.816 | -CA$3.15 |
| 11.0% | -CA$7.47 | -CA$6.50 | -CA$5.271 |