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The GEO Group, Inc.
GEOIndustrialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.63B | 9.7% | $255.26M | -$123.68M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.85B | 9.7% | $276.19M | -$133.82M | -$121.66M |
| 2028 | $3.08B | 9.7% | $298.84M | -$144.80M | -$119.67M |
| 2029 | $3.33B | 9.7% | $323.34M | -$156.67M | -$117.71M |
| 2030 | $3.61B | 9.7% | $349.86M | -$169.52M | -$115.78M |
| 2031 | $3.90B | 9.7% | $378.55M | -$183.42M | -$113.89M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.82 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $19.084 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $169.85 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $105.46 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $73.824 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $52.731 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$43.527 | -$46.521 | -$50.604 |
| 10.0% | -$40.499 | -$42.706 | -$45.593 |
| 11.0% | -$38.111 | -$39.792 | -$41.921 |