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Fletcher Building Limited
FRCEFBasic MaterialsOTCNZ
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6.65B | 1.0% | $66.50M | -$398.97M | N/A |
| 2027 | $7.08B | 1.0% | $70.75M | -$424.51M | -$385.92M |
| 2028 | $7.53B | 1.0% | $75.28M | -$451.68M | -$373.29M |
| 2029 | $8.01B | 1.0% | $80.10M | -$480.58M | -$361.07M |
| 2030 | $8.52B | 1.0% | $85.22M | -$511.34M | -$349.25M |
| 2031 | $9.07B | 1.0% | $90.68M | -$544.07M | -$337.82M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.193 | Latest |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.015 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $0.06 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.037 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.026 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.019 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$4.862 | -$5.281 | -$5.852 |
| 10.0% | -$4.437 | -$4.746 | -$5.15 |
| 11.0% | -$4.103 | -$4.338 | -$4.636 |