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Phoenix New Media Limited
FENGCommunication ServicesNYSECN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $765.57M | 1.0% | $7.66M | -$16.08M | N/A |
| 2027 | $831.41M | 1.0% | $8.31M | -$17.46M | -$15.87M |
| 2028 | $902.91M | 1.0% | $9.03M | -$18.96M | -$15.67M |
| 2029 | $980.56M | 1.0% | $9.81M | -$20.59M | -$15.47M |
| 2030 | $1.06B | 1.0% | $10.65M | -$22.36M | -$15.27M |
| 2031 | $1.16B | 1.0% | $11.56M | -$24.29M | -$15.08M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.31 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $13.736 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $119.51 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $74.204 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $51.943 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $37.102 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $375.81 | $356.36 | $329.84 |
| 10.0% | $395.46 | $381.13 | $362.38 |
| 11.0% | $410.96 | $400.05 | $386.22 |