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Etsy, Inc.
ETSYConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.88B | 5.7% | $164.36M | $640.14M | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.00B | 5.7% | $171.26M | $667.02M | $606.38M |
| 2028 | $3.13B | 5.7% | $178.46M | $695.04M | $574.41M |
| 2029 | $3.26B | 5.7% | $185.95M | $724.23M | $544.12M |
| 2030 | $3.40B | 5.7% | $193.76M | $754.65M | $515.43M |
| 2031 | $3.54B | 5.7% | $201.90M | $786.34M | $488.26M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.39 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -36.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.145 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 33.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $4.831 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.00 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.10 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.50 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $130.11 | $144.14 | $163.27 |
| 10.0% | $115.87 | $126.22 | $139.75 |
| 11.0% | $104.64 | $112.52 | $122.49 |