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Erie Indemnity Company
ERIEFinancial ServicesNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.07B | 13.8% | $561.28M | $569.42M | N/A |
| 2027 | $4.49B | 13.8% | $619.65M | $628.64M | $571.49M |
| 2028 | $4.96B | 13.8% | $684.10M | $694.01M | $573.56M |
| 2029 | $5.47B | 13.8% | $755.25M | $766.19M | $575.65M |
| 2030 | $6.04B | 13.8% | $833.79M | $845.87M | $577.74M |
| 2031 | $6.67B | 13.8% | $920.51M | $933.85M | $579.84M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $10.62 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -6.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $7.468 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 23.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $178.49 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $110.83 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $77.578 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $55.413 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $196.63 | $219.73 | $251.23 |
| 10.0% | $173.31 | $190.34 | $212.61 |
| 11.0% | $154.93 | $167.89 | $184.32 |