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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $230.07B | 1.0% | $2.30B | -$23.93B | N/A |
| 2027 | $322.09B | 1.0% | $3.22B | -$33.50B | -$30.45B |
| 2028 | $450.93B | 1.0% | $4.51B | -$46.90B | -$38.76B |
| 2029 | $631.30B | 1.0% | $6.31B | -$65.66B | -$49.33B |
| 2030 | $883.83B | 1.0% | $8.84B | -$91.92B | -$62.78B |
| 2031 | $1.24T | 1.0% | $12.37B | -$128.68B | -$79.90B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$8.02 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.109 | -$0.12 | -$0.134 |
| 10.0% | -$0.099 | -$0.107 | -$0.117 |
| 11.0% | -$0.091 | -$0.097 | -$0.104 |