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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.63B | 4.0% | $65.18M | -$190.67M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.86B | 4.0% | $74.44M | -$217.74M | -$197.95M |
| 2028 | $2.13B | 4.0% | $85.01M | -$248.66M | -$205.50M |
| 2029 | $2.43B | 4.0% | $97.08M | -$283.97M | -$213.35M |
| 2030 | $2.77B | 4.0% | $110.87M | -$324.29M | -$221.50M |
| 2031 | $3.17B | 4.0% | $126.61M | -$370.34M | -$229.95M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.98 | 2013-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.154 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $0.616 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $0.382 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.268 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.191 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$1.173 | -$1.335 | -$1.557 |
| 10.0% | -$1.009 | -$1.129 | -$1.286 |
| 11.0% | -$0.88 | -$0.971 | -$1.087 |