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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $959.12B | 8.0% | $76.73B | -$51.79B | N/A |
| 2027 | $997.49B | 8.0% | $79.80B | -$53.86B | -$48.97B |
| 2028 | $1.04T | 8.0% | $82.99B | -$56.02B | -$46.30B |
| 2029 | $1.08T | 8.0% | $86.31B | -$58.26B | -$43.77B |
| 2030 | $1.12T | 8.0% | $89.76B | -$60.59B | -$41.38B |
| 2031 | $1.17T | 8.0% | $93.35B | -$63.01B | -$39.13B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $166.26 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +7.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $239.80 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 21.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $5,203.66 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3,231.06 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2,261.74 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,615.53 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$18.332 | -$20.294 | -$22.97 |
| 10.0% | -$16.342 | -$17.788 | -$19.68 |
| 11.0% | -$14.771 | -$15.872 | -$17.267 |