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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $201.48B | 21.6% | $43.52B | $69.91B | N/A |
| 2027 | $209.34B | 21.6% | $45.22B | $72.64B | $66.04B |
| 2028 | $217.51B | 21.6% | $46.98B | $75.47B | $62.38B |
| 2029 | $225.99B | 21.6% | $48.81B | $78.42B | $58.92B |
| 2030 | $234.80B | 21.6% | $50.72B | $81.48B | $55.65B |
| 2031 | $243.96B | 21.6% | $52.70B | $84.65B | $52.56B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $28.59 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -2.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $25.062 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $238.09 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $147.83 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $103.48 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $73.916 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $20.008 | $28.953 | $41.151 |
| 10.0% | $10.93 | $17.525 | $26.15 |
| 11.0% | $3.767 | $8.789 | $15.149 |