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AMCON Distributing Company
DITConsumer DefensiveAMEXUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2.82B | 1.0% | $28.17M | $8.45M | N/A |
| 2027 | $3.10B | 1.0% | $30.98M | $9.30M | $8.45M |
| 2028 | $3.41B | 1.0% | $34.08M | $10.22M | $8.45M |
| 2029 | $3.75B | 1.0% | $37.49M | $11.25M | $8.45M |
| 2030 | $4.12B | 1.0% | $41.24M | $12.37M | $8.45M |
| 2031 | $4.54B | 1.0% | $45.36M | $13.61M | $8.45M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.92 | 2025-09-30 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.072 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 82.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $5.895 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.66 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.562 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.83 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$16.445 | $15.612 | $59.327 |
| 10.0% | -$48.824 | -$25.188 | $5.72 |
| 11.0% | -$74.345 | -$56.349 | -$33.554 |