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Diageo plc
DEOConsumer DefensiveNYSEGB
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20.25B | 11.6% | $2.35B | $2.69B | N/A |
| 2027 | $21.26B | 11.6% | $2.47B | $2.83B | $2.57B |
| 2028 | $22.32B | 11.6% | $2.59B | $2.97B | $2.45B |
| 2029 | $23.44B | 11.6% | $2.72B | $3.12B | $2.34B |
| 2030 | $24.61B | 11.6% | $2.85B | $3.27B | $2.24B |
| 2031 | $25.84B | 11.6% | $3.00B | $3.44B | $2.13B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $4.24 | 2025-06-30 |
| EPS growth | -38.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.367 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 23.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $8.735 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $5.424 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.796 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.712 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $29.469 | $36.639 | $46.417 |
| 10.0% | $22.199 | $27.485 | $34.398 |
| 11.0% | $16.463 | $20.489 | $25.587 |