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Dingdong (Cayman) Limited
DDLConsumer DefensiveNYSECN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $24.36B | 1.0% | $243.60M | $341.04M | N/A |
| 2027 | $23.70B | 1.0% | $237.02M | $331.83M | $301.66M |
| 2028 | $23.06B | 1.0% | $230.62M | $322.87M | $266.84M |
| 2029 | $22.44B | 1.0% | $224.40M | $314.15M | $236.03M |
| 2030 | $21.83B | 1.0% | $218.34M | $305.67M | $208.78M |
| 2031 | $21.24B | 1.0% | $212.44M | $297.42M | $184.67M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.98 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -28.6% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.182 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 17 | P/E |
| Future price | $3.091 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.92 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1.344 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.96 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $3.497 | $3.777 | $4.16 |
| 10.0% | $3.21 | $3.417 | $3.687 |
| 11.0% | $2.984 | $3.141 | $3.341 |