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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $16.51B | 18.2% | $3.00B | -$7.28B | N/A |
| 2027 | $17.56B | 18.2% | $3.20B | -$7.75B | -$7.04B |
| 2028 | $18.69B | 18.2% | $3.40B | -$8.24B | -$6.81B |
| 2029 | $19.88B | 18.2% | $3.62B | -$8.77B | -$6.59B |
| 2030 | $21.15B | 18.2% | $3.85B | -$9.33B | -$6.37B |
| 2031 | $22.51B | 18.2% | $4.10B | -$9.93B | -$6.16B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $3.45 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +41.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $19.779 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 16.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $330.31 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $205.09 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $143.57 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $102.55 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$227.101 | -$246.385 | -$272.681 |
| 10.0% | -$207.571 | -$221.789 | -$240.381 |
| 11.0% | -$192.167 | -$202.993 | -$216.705 |