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China Oriental Group Company Limited
CUGCYBasic MaterialsOTCHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $39.31B | 1.0% | $393.12M | -$39.31M | N/A |
| 2027 | $41.12B | 1.0% | $411.21M | -$41.12M | -$37.38M |
| 2028 | $43.01B | 1.0% | $430.12M | -$43.01M | -$35.55M |
| 2029 | $44.99B | 1.0% | $449.91M | -$44.99M | -$33.80M |
| 2030 | $47.06B | 1.0% | $470.60M | -$47.06M | -$32.14M |
| 2031 | $49.23B | 1.0% | $492.25M | -$49.23M | -$30.57M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $1.19 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +48.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $8.479 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 25 | P/E |
| Future price | $211.96 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $131.61 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $92.129 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $65.807 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$3.585 | -$3.64 | -$3.715 |
| 10.0% | -$3.529 | -$3.57 | -$3.623 |
| 11.0% | -$3.485 | -$3.516 | -$3.555 |