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China Oriental Group Company Limited
CUGCFBasic MaterialsOTCHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $39.37B | 1.0% | $393.71M | -$39.37M | N/A |
| 2027 | $40.16B | 1.0% | $401.58M | -$40.16M | -$36.51M |
| 2028 | $40.96B | 1.0% | $409.61M | -$40.96M | -$33.85M |
| 2029 | $41.78B | 1.0% | $417.80M | -$41.78M | -$31.39M |
| 2030 | $42.62B | 1.0% | $426.16M | -$42.62M | -$29.11M |
| 2031 | $43.47B | 1.0% | $434.68M | -$43.47M | -$26.99M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.059 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +46.4% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.395 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 22.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $8.922 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $5.54 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $3.878 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.77 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.177 | -$0.179 | -$0.183 |
| 10.0% | -$0.174 | -$0.176 | -$0.178 |
| 11.0% | -$0.172 | -$0.174 | -$0.176 |