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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.09T | 2.1% | $22.96B | -$31.71B | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.10T | 2.1% | $23.19B | -$32.03B | -$29.12B |
| 2028 | $1.12T | 2.1% | $23.42B | -$32.35B | -$26.73B |
| 2029 | $1.13T | 2.1% | $23.66B | -$32.67B | -$24.55B |
| 2030 | $1.14T | 2.1% | $23.90B | -$33.00B | -$22.54B |
| 2031 | $1.15T | 2.1% | $24.13B | -$33.33B | -$20.69B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.93 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -14.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.42 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | $1.68 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.043 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.73 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.522 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$3.225 | -$3.457 | -$3.773 |
| 10.0% | -$2.989 | -$3.16 | -$3.384 |
| 11.0% | -$2.803 | -$2.933 | -$3.098 |