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Costco Wholesale Corporation
COSTConsumer DefensiveNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $275.24B | 2.9% | $7.98B | $7.71B | N/A |
| 2027 | $291.20B | 2.9% | $8.44B | $8.15B | $7.41B |
| 2028 | $308.09B | 2.9% | $8.93B | $8.63B | $7.13B |
| 2029 | $325.96B | 2.9% | $9.45B | $9.13B | $6.86B |
| 2030 | $344.86B | 2.9% | $10.00B | $9.66B | $6.60B |
| 2031 | $364.86B | 2.9% | $10.58B | $10.22B | $6.34B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $18.21 | 2025-08-31 |
| EPS growth | +9.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $29.194 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 51.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $1,509.35 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $937.19 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $656.03 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $468.59 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $306.86 | $341.31 | $388.29 |
| 10.0% | $271.96 | $297.35 | $330.57 |
| 11.0% | $244.42 | $263.76 | $288.26 |