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ConocoPhillips
COPEnergyNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $58.71B | 13.6% | $7.99B | $16.79B | N/A |
| 2027 | $59.77B | 13.6% | $8.13B | $17.09B | $15.54B |
| 2028 | $60.85B | 13.6% | $8.28B | $17.40B | $14.38B |
| 2029 | $61.94B | 13.6% | $8.42B | $17.72B | $13.31B |
| 2030 | $63.06B | 13.6% | $8.58B | $18.03B | $12.32B |
| 2031 | $64.19B | 13.6% | $8.73B | $18.36B | $11.40B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.35 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -18.7% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.255 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $33.155 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $20.586 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $14.41 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $10.293 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $213.62 | $240.28 | $276.64 |
| 10.0% | $186.51 | $206.17 | $231.87 |
| 11.0% | $165.11 | $180.07 | $199.03 |