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Conn's, Inc.
CONNConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.24B | 1.0% | $12.38M | -$102.73M | N/A |
| 2027 | $990.15M | 1.0% | $9.90M | -$82.18M | -$74.71M |
| 2028 | $792.12M | 1.0% | $7.92M | -$65.75M | -$54.34M |
| 2029 | $633.69M | 1.0% | $6.34M | -$52.60M | -$39.52M |
| 2030 | $506.95M | 1.0% | $5.07M | -$42.08M | -$28.74M |
| 2031 | $405.56M | 1.0% | $4.06M | -$33.66M | -$20.90M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$3.17 | 2024-01-31 |
| EPS growth | -28.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$1.874 | -$1.917 | -$1.976 |
| 10.0% | -$1.828 | -$1.86 | -$1.902 |
| 11.0% | -$1.792 | -$1.817 | -$1.847 |