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Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V.
CNRFFConsumer CyclicalOTCMX
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $8.25B | 11.0% | $907.05M | $90.71M | N/A |
| 2027 | $8.87B | 11.0% | $975.99M | $97.60M | $88.73M |
| 2028 | $9.55B | 11.0% | $1.05B | $105.02M | $86.79M |
| 2029 | $10.27B | 11.0% | $1.13B | $113.00M | $84.90M |
| 2030 | $11.05B | 11.0% | $1.22B | $121.59M | $83.04M |
| 2031 | $11.89B | 11.0% | $1.31B | $130.83M | $81.23M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.74 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +29.8% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $2.726 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $11.724 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $7.28 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $5.096 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $3.64 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $0.057 | $0.069 | $0.086 |
| 10.0% | $0.044 | $0.053 | $0.065 |
| 11.0% | $0.034 | $0.041 | $0.05 |