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Canadian Natural Resources Limited
CNQ.TOEnergyTSXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $38.76B | 27.9% | $10.81B | $8.41B | N/A |
| 2027 | $37.10B | 27.9% | $10.35B | $8.05B | $7.32B |
| 2028 | $35.50B | 27.9% | $9.90B | $7.70B | $6.37B |
| 2029 | $33.97B | 27.9% | $9.48B | $7.37B | $5.54B |
| 2030 | $32.51B | 27.9% | $9.07B | $7.06B | $4.82B |
| 2031 | $31.11B | 27.9% | $8.68B | $6.75B | $4.19B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | CA$5.16 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | CA$54.107 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 9 | P/E |
| Future price | CA$486.96 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | CA$302.36 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | CA$211.65 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | CA$151.18 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | CA$46.097 | CA$52.625 | CA$61.527 |
| 10.0% | CA$39.418 | CA$44.231 | CA$50.524 |
| 11.0% | CA$34.137 | CA$37.802 | CA$42.444 |