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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $62.01B | 13.6% | $8.43B | -$24.43B | N/A |
| 2027 | $51.84B | 13.6% | $7.05B | -$20.42B | -$18.57B |
| 2028 | $43.34B | 13.6% | $5.89B | -$17.07B | -$14.11B |
| 2029 | $36.23B | 13.6% | $4.93B | -$14.27B | -$10.72B |
| 2030 | $30.29B | 13.6% | $4.12B | -$11.93B | -$8.15B |
| 2031 | $25.32B | 13.6% | $3.44B | -$9.98B | -$6.19B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $8.57 | 2025-10-31 |
| EPS growth | +18.2% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $19.773 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $255.07 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $158.38 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $110.86 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $79.189 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$410.994 | -$425.532 | -$445.357 |
| 10.0% | -$395.851 | -$406.57 | -$420.587 |
| 11.0% | -$383.831 | -$391.993 | -$402.33 |