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China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited
CIADFConsumer DefensiveOTCHK
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $80.12B | 1.9% | $1.52B | $6.33B | N/A |
| 2027 | $83.57B | 1.9% | $1.59B | $6.60B | $6.00B |
| 2028 | $87.16B | 1.9% | $1.66B | $6.89B | $5.69B |
| 2029 | $90.91B | 1.9% | $1.73B | $7.18B | $5.40B |
| 2030 | $94.82B | 1.9% | $1.80B | $7.49B | $5.12B |
| 2031 | $98.90B | 1.9% | $1.88B | $7.81B | $4.85B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.39 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $4.089 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 34.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $139.45 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $86.588 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $60.611 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $43.294 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $4.135 | $4.624 | $5.291 |
| 10.0% | $3.639 | $4.00 | $4.471 |
| 11.0% | $3.248 | $3.522 | $3.87 |