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China Southern Airlines Company Limited
CHKIFIndustrialsOTCCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $182.26B | 1.0% | $1.82B | $20.41B | N/A |
| 2027 | $195.38B | 1.0% | $1.95B | $21.88B | $19.89B |
| 2028 | $209.45B | 1.0% | $2.09B | $23.46B | $19.39B |
| 2029 | $224.53B | 1.0% | $2.25B | $25.15B | $18.89B |
| 2030 | $240.69B | 1.0% | $2.41B | $26.96B | $18.41B |
| 2031 | $258.02B | 1.0% | $2.58B | $28.90B | $17.94B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.05 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.524 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 104.5 | P/E |
| Future price | $54.788 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $34.019 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $23.813 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $17.01 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $1.002 | $1.208 | $1.489 |
| 10.0% | $0.793 | $0.945 | $1.144 |
| 11.0% | $0.628 | $0.744 | $0.891 |