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Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
CHAConsumer DefensiveNASDAQCN
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $12.91B | 9.1% | $1.17B | $1.19B | N/A |
| 2027 | $13.64B | 9.1% | $1.24B | $1.26B | $1.14B |
| 2028 | $14.42B | 9.1% | $1.31B | $1.33B | $1.10B |
| 2029 | $15.24B | 9.1% | $1.39B | $1.40B | $1.05B |
| 2030 | $16.11B | 9.1% | $1.47B | $1.48B | $1.01B |
| 2031 | $17.03B | 9.1% | $1.55B | $1.57B | $972.83M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.01 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.467 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 11.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $5.281 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3.279 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2.295 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1.64 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $22.641 | $24.63 | $27.341 |
| 10.0% | $20.626 | $22.092 | $24.009 |
| 11.0% | $19.037 | $20.153 | $21.567 |