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The Carlyle Group Inc.
CGFinancial ServicesNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.90B | 16.5% | $808.12M | $1.36B | N/A |
| 2027 | $4.79B | 16.5% | $791.15M | $1.33B | $1.21B |
| 2028 | $4.69B | 16.5% | $774.54M | $1.30B | $1.08B |
| 2029 | $4.60B | 16.5% | $758.27M | $1.28B | $959.86M |
| 2030 | $4.50B | 16.5% | $742.35M | $1.25B | $854.27M |
| 2031 | $4.40B | 16.5% | $726.76M | $1.22B | $760.30M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.18 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -21.1% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.667 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 26.3 | P/E |
| Future price | $17.531 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $10.885 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $7.62 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $5.443 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $10.372 | $14.011 | $18.973 |
| 10.0% | $6.658 | $9.341 | $12.849 |
| 11.0% | $3.723 | $5.766 | $8.353 |