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CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CFBasic MaterialsNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $7.08B | 20.5% | $1.45B | $1.80B | N/A |
| 2027 | $7.31B | 20.5% | $1.50B | $1.86B | $1.69B |
| 2028 | $7.54B | 20.5% | $1.55B | $1.92B | $1.58B |
| 2029 | $7.79B | 20.5% | $1.60B | $1.98B | $1.49B |
| 2030 | $8.04B | 20.5% | $1.65B | $2.04B | $1.39B |
| 2031 | $8.29B | 20.5% | $1.70B | $2.11B | $1.31B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $8.97 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +33.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $37.329 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 8.6 | P/E |
| Future price | $321.03 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $199.34 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $139.54 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $99.668 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $219.25 | $246.96 | $284.74 |
| 10.0% | $191.11 | $211.54 | $238.25 |
| 11.0% | $168.91 | $184.46 | $204.16 |