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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $4.03T | 6.1% | $245.92B | $72.57B | N/A |
| 2027 | $4.43T | 6.1% | $270.51B | $79.82B | $72.57B |
| 2028 | $4.88T | 6.1% | $297.56B | $87.80B | $72.57B |
| 2029 | $5.37T | 6.1% | $327.31B | $96.58B | $72.57B |
| 2030 | $5.90T | 6.1% | $360.05B | $106.24B | $72.57B |
| 2031 | $6.49T | 6.1% | $396.05B | $116.87B | $72.57B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $236.63 | 2022-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +15.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $482.19 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 12 | P/E |
| Future price | $5,786.26 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $3,592.81 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $2,514.97 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,796.40 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $10.016 | $11.27 | $12.98 |
| 10.0% | $8.749 | $9.674 | $10.883 |
| 11.0% | $7.751 | $8.455 | $9.347 |