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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $168.30B | 8.5% | $14.31B | -$74.22B | N/A |
| 2027 | $175.37B | 8.5% | $14.91B | -$77.34B | -$70.31B |
| 2028 | $182.74B | 8.5% | $15.53B | -$80.59B | -$66.60B |
| 2029 | $190.41B | 8.5% | $16.18B | -$83.97B | -$63.09B |
| 2030 | $198.41B | 8.5% | $16.86B | -$87.50B | -$59.76B |
| 2031 | $206.74B | 8.5% | $17.57B | -$91.17B | -$56.61B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $6.99 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +19.9% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $17.321 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 14.9 | P/E |
| Future price | $258.08 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $160.25 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $112.17 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $80.125 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$727.90 | -$810.528 | -$923.202 |
| 10.0% | -$644.067 | -$704.987 | -$784.651 |
| 11.0% | -$577.92 | -$624.305 | -$683.058 |