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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $133.40B | 5.5% | $7.34B | -$2.93B | N/A |
| 2027 | $136.34B | 5.5% | $7.50B | -$3.00B | -$2.73B |
| 2028 | $139.34B | 5.5% | $7.66B | -$3.07B | -$2.53B |
| 2029 | $142.40B | 5.5% | $7.83B | -$3.13B | -$2.35B |
| 2030 | $145.54B | 5.5% | $8.00B | -$3.20B | -$2.19B |
| 2031 | $148.74B | 5.5% | $8.18B | -$3.27B | -$2.03B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $11.88 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +11.5% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $20.473 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 6.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $137.17 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $85.173 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $59.621 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $42.587 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$266.701 | -$276.582 | -$290.057 |
| 10.0% | -$256.658 | -$263.943 | -$273.47 |
| 11.0% | -$248.73 | -$254.277 | -$261.303 |