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Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc.
BXMTReal EstateNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.52B | 7.2% | $109.51M | $275.29M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.41B | 7.2% | $101.40M | $254.92M | $231.75M |
| 2028 | $1.30B | 7.2% | $93.90M | $236.06M | $195.09M |
| 2029 | $1.21B | 7.2% | $86.95M | $218.59M | $164.23M |
| 2030 | $1.12B | 7.2% | $80.52M | $202.41M | $138.25M |
| 2031 | $1.04B | 7.2% | $74.56M | $187.43M | $116.38M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.64 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $6.711 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 29.8 | P/E |
| Future price | $199.98 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $124.17 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $86.922 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $62.087 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$74.039 | -$72.511 | -$70.427 |
| 10.0% | -$75.609 | -$74.482 | -$73.009 |
| 11.0% | -$76.851 | -$75.993 | -$74.906 |