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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $16.90B | 22.4% | $3.79B | -$8.45B | N/A |
| 2027 | $18.59B | 22.4% | $4.16B | -$9.30B | -$8.45B |
| 2028 | $20.45B | 22.4% | $4.58B | -$10.23B | -$8.45B |
| 2029 | $22.50B | 22.4% | $5.04B | -$11.25B | -$8.45B |
| 2030 | $24.75B | 22.4% | $5.54B | -$12.37B | -$8.45B |
| 2031 | $27.22B | 22.4% | $6.10B | -$13.61B | -$8.45B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.25 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | 0.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.25 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 37.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $9.425 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $5.852 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $4.097 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $2.926 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$0.578 | -$0.62 | -$0.677 |
| 10.0% | -$0.536 | -$0.567 | -$0.607 |
| 11.0% | -$0.503 | -$0.526 | -$0.556 |