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BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
BJRIConsumer CyclicalNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.40B | 3.5% | $48.97M | $40.57M | N/A |
| 2027 | $1.47B | 3.5% | $51.47M | $42.64M | $38.77M |
| 2028 | $1.55B | 3.5% | $54.09M | $44.82M | $37.04M |
| 2029 | $1.62B | 3.5% | $56.85M | $47.10M | $35.39M |
| 2030 | $1.71B | 3.5% | $59.75M | $49.51M | $33.81M |
| 2031 | $1.79B | 3.5% | $62.80M | $52.03M | $32.31M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $2.16 | 2025-12-30 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $22.649 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 17.7 | P/E |
| Future price | $400.89 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $248.92 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $174.25 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $124.46 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $8.611 | $12.38 | $17.518 |
| 10.0% | $4.791 | $7.569 | $11.203 |
| 11.0% | $1.777 | $3.893 | $6.572 |