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Birks Group Inc.
BGIConsumer CyclicalAMEXCA
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $177.81M | 1.0% | $1.78M | -$9.42M | N/A |
| 2027 | $195.59M | 1.0% | $1.96M | -$10.37M | -$9.42M |
| 2028 | $215.15M | 1.0% | $2.15M | -$11.40M | -$9.42M |
| 2029 | $236.66M | 1.0% | $2.37M | -$12.54M | -$9.42M |
| 2030 | $260.33M | 1.0% | $2.60M | -$13.80M | -$9.42M |
| 2031 | $286.36M | 1.0% | $2.86M | -$15.18M | -$9.42M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.67 | 2025-03-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$6.287 | -$6.712 | -$7.293 |
| 10.0% | -$5.857 | -$6.171 | -$6.581 |
| 11.0% | -$5.518 | -$5.757 | -$6.06 |