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AutoZone, Inc.
AZOConsumer CyclicalNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $18.94B | 13.2% | $2.50B | $1.80B | N/A |
| 2027 | $20.02B | 13.2% | $2.64B | $1.90B | $1.73B |
| 2028 | $21.16B | 13.2% | $2.79B | $2.01B | $1.66B |
| 2029 | $22.37B | 13.2% | $2.95B | $2.12B | $1.60B |
| 2030 | $23.64B | 13.2% | $3.12B | $2.25B | $1.53B |
| 2031 | $24.99B | 13.2% | $3.30B | $2.37B | $1.47B |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $144.87 | 2025-08-30 |
| EPS growth | -3.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $122.49 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 28.2 | P/E |
| Future price | $3,454.30 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $2,144.85 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $1,501.39 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $1,072.42 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $754.85 | $907.36 | $1,115.33 |
| 10.0% | $600.31 | $712.75 | $859.79 |
| 11.0% | $478.41 | $564.02 | $672.47 |