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American States Water Company
AWRUtilitiesNYSEUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $658.07M | 19.8% | $130.30M | -$7.24M | N/A |
| 2027 | $687.03M | 19.8% | $136.03M | -$7.56M | -$6.87M |
| 2028 | $717.26M | 19.8% | $142.02M | -$7.89M | -$6.52M |
| 2029 | $748.82M | 19.8% | $148.27M | -$8.24M | -$6.19M |
| 2030 | $781.76M | 19.8% | $154.79M | -$8.60M | -$5.87M |
| 2031 | $816.16M | 19.8% | $161.60M | -$8.98M | -$5.57M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $3.37 | 2025-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +6.3% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $4.574 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 21.4 | P/E |
| Future price | $97.884 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $60.778 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $42.545 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $30.389 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$29.024 | -$29.39 | -$29.889 |
| 10.0% | -$28.653 | -$28.923 | -$29.275 |
| 11.0% | -$28.36 | -$28.565 | -$28.826 |