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Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc
AVDLHealthcareNASDAQIE
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $169.12M | 1.0% | $1.69M | -$46.85M | N/A |
| 2027 | $161.17M | 1.0% | $1.61M | -$44.64M | -$40.59M |
| 2028 | $153.59M | 1.0% | $1.54M | -$42.55M | -$35.16M |
| 2029 | $146.37M | 1.0% | $1.46M | -$40.55M | -$30.46M |
| 2030 | $139.50M | 1.0% | $1.39M | -$38.64M | -$26.39M |
| 2031 | $132.94M | 1.0% | $1.33M | -$36.82M | -$22.86M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | -$0.51 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | +60.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | N/A | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 4 | P/E |
| Future price | N/A | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | N/A | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | N/A | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | -$8.899 | -$10.057 | -$11.636 |
| 10.0% | -$7.714 | -$8.567 | -$9.684 |
| 11.0% | -$6.776 | -$7.426 | -$8.25 |