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Air Transport Services Group, Inc.
ATSGIndustrialsNASDAQUS
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Estimates, scoring, valuation assumptions, and peer comparison in one research surface.
Change the assumptions to see how revenue growth, margins, and exit multiples can move fair value.
| Year | Revenue | Margin | Profit | Free cash flow | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1.96B | 1.4% | $27.47M | $653.34M | N/A |
| 2027 | $2.04B | 1.4% | $28.57M | $679.47M | $617.70M |
| 2028 | $2.12B | 1.4% | $29.71M | $706.65M | $584.01M |
| 2029 | $2.21B | 1.4% | $30.90M | $734.91M | $552.15M |
| 2030 | $2.30B | 1.4% | $32.13M | $764.31M | $522.03M |
| 2031 | $2.39B | 1.4% | $33.42M | $794.88M | $493.56M |
Projects EPS forward, applies an exit P/E, then discounts the result back to today.
| Base EPS | $0.40 | 2024-12-31 |
| EPS growth | -40.0% | Forecast years: 5 |
| Future EPS | $0.031 | EPS × (1 + G)^5 |
| Base P/E | 52.1 | P/E |
| Future price | $1.621 | Future EPS × P/E |
| Fair value today | $1.006 | PV @ 10.0% |
| 30% safety price | $0.704 | Margin of safety |
| 50% safety price | $0.503 | Margin of safety |
| Discount rate \\ Terminal growth | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | $154.79 | $172.96 | $197.73 |
| 10.0% | $136.35 | $149.75 | $167.26 |
| 11.0% | $121.80 | $132.00 | $144.92 |